Publications on Non-Monotonic Probabilistic Reasoning
Intelligence Agencies
Cohen, M.S. A database tool to support probabilistic assumption-based reasoning in intelligence analysis. Proceedings of the 1989 Joint Director of Laboratories C2 Symposium, Ft. McNair, VA, June 27- 29, 1989.
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., Vane, R.R., McIntyre, J.R., and Sak, S.G. Divergent and convergent reasoning in intelligence analysis: A self-reconciling evidential database. Reston, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., May 1989.
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., and Ulvila, J.W. The management of uncertainty in intelligence data: A self-reconciling evidential database Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., June 1987.
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., Chinnis, J.O., Jr., and Ulvila, J.W. Report on uncertainty models: Identification and critical analysis of models of uncertainty with potential applicability to intelligence data bases. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., March 1986.
Cohen, M.S. "A framework for non-monotonic reasoning about probabilistic assumptions." Proceedings of Workshop on Uncertainty and Probability in Artificial Intelligence. Los Angeles, CA: University of California. August 14-August 16, 1985 (sponsored by RCA and AAAI).
Cohen, M.S., Schum, D.A., Freeling, A.N.S., and Chinnis, J.O., Jr. On the art and science of hedging a conclusion: Alternative theories of uncertainty in intelligence analysis. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., August 1984.
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Army Engineering Topographic Laboratory
Cohen, M.S. (1986). An expert system framework for non-monotonic reasoning about probabilistic assumptions. In J.F. Lemmer and L.N. Kanal (Eds.) Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Co.
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., and Ulvila, J.W. Report on methods of estimating uncertainty: Application of alternate inference theories to ABM site localization problems. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, July 1986.
Cohen, M.S., Watson, S.R., and Barrett, E. Alternative theories of inference in expert systems for image analysis . Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., January l985.
Laskey, K.B., Black, P.K., Cohen, M.S., McIntyre, J.R., Roman, W.G., and Vane, Russell, R. Consensus theory in expert systems: An adaptive inference framework and application to image understanding Reston, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., December 1988.
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Wright Labs

Cohen, M.S. Decision making "biases" and support for assumption-based higher-order reasoning. Proceedings of the Fifth Workshop on Uncertainty and AI, Windsor, Ontario, August 1989.
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., McIntyre, J.R., and Thompson, B.B. An expert system framework for adaptive evidential reasoning: Application to in-flight route re-planning. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., March 1986.
Cohen, M.S. and Laskey, K.B. An application of non-monotonic probabilistic reasoning to air force threat correlation. Proceedings of the Second Workshop on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, June 1986.
Laskey, K.B., Black, P.K., Cohen, M.S., Fitzgerald, T., Martin, A.W., McIntyre, J.R., and Roman, W.G. Artificial intelligence development for pilot aid applications: Phase II final report Reston, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., January 1989.

 

 

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