S
Publications on
Inference , Decision Making, Artificial Intelligence
Basic Research

Application Technologies

Real World Outcomes
Improves Team
& Individual Performance
 
 
Specific R & D Threads
Theories of Inference
Cohen, M.S., Watson, S.R., and Barrett, E. Alternative theories of inference in expert systems for image analysis . Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., January l985.
Cohen, M.S., Schum, D.A., Freeling, A.N.S., and Chinnis, J.O., Jr. On the art and science of hedging a conclusion: Alternative theories of uncertainty in intelligence analysis. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., August 1984.
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., and Ulvila, J.W. Report on methods of estimating uncertainty: Application of alternate inference theories to ABM site localization problems. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, July 1986.
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., Chinnis, J.O., Jr., and Ulvila, J.W. Report on uncertainty models: Identification and critical analysis of models of uncertainty with potential applicability to intelligence data bases. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., March 1986.
Cohen, M.S. Decision making "biases" and support for assumption-based higher-order reasoning. Proceedings of the Fifth Workshop on Uncertainty and AI, Windsor, Ontario, August 1989.
AI Inference Systems
Cohen, M.S., Laskey, K.B., and Ulvila, J.W. The management of uncertainty in intelligence data: A self-reconciling evidential database Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., June 1987.
Cohen, M., Laskey, K.B., Vane, R.R., McIntyre, J.R., & Sak, S.G. (1988). Divergent and convergent reasoning in intelligence analysis: a self-reconciling evidential database. Reston, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc.
Cohen, M.S. A database tool to support probabilistic assumption-based reasoning in intelligence analysis. Proceedings of the 1989 Joint Director of Laboratories C2 Symposium, Ft. McNair, VA, June 27- 29, 1989.
Cohen, M., Laskey, K.B., McIntyre, J.R., & Thompson, B.B. (1986). An expert system framework for adaptive evidential reasoning: Application to in-flight route re-planning.Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc.
Cohen, M.S. (1989). A Self-Reconciling Evidential DataBase for Intelligence Analysts. Slide Presentation.
Cohen, M.S. (1986). An expert system framework for non-monotonic reasoning about probabilistic assumptions. In J.F. Lemmer and L.N. Kanal (Eds.) Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Co.
Cohen, M.S. (1993). Self-Calibrating Belief Networks for Intelligence Analysis . Arlington, VA: Cognitive Technologies.
Laskey, K.B., Black, P.K., Cohen, M.S., McIntyre, J.R., Roman, W.G., and Vane, Russell, R. Consensus theory in expert systems: An adaptive inference framework and application to image understanding Reston, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., December 1988.
Laskey, K.B., Black, P.K., Cohen, M.S., Fitzgerald, T., Martin, A.W., McIntyre, J.R., and Roman, W.G. Artificial intelligence development for pilot aid applications: Phase II final report Reston, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., January 1989.
Laskey, K.B and Cohen, M.S. Applications of the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence for simulation. Proceedings of the 1986 Winter Simulation Conference, September 1986.
Cohen, M.S. and Laskey, K.B. An application of non-monotonic probabilistic reasoning to air force threat correlation. Proceedings of the Second Workshop on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, June 1986.
Decision Analytic  Systems & Tools
Freedy, A., McDonough, J.G., Freedy, E., Cohen, M., Padgett, T. & Weltman, G. et al. (2005). Tactical Group Decision Analysis System (TGDAS) for Distributed Collaborative Planning and Support. Sherman Oaks, CA: Perceptronics Solutions.
Cohen, M., & Brown, R.V. (1980). Decision support for attack submarine commanders. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc.
Cohen, M. (1982). Validation of a target range decision aid (u). Proceedings of the 49th MORS Symposium Alexandria, VA: Military Operations Research Society.
Cohen, M.S., and Freeling, A.N.S. The impact of information on decisions: Command and control system evaluation. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., February 1981.
Cohen, M., Freedy, A. & Weltman, G. (2005). Cultural Model Decision Support System (CMDSS) for Situational Adjustments to PACOM's Theater Security Cooperation Plan (TSCP). Sherman Oaks, CA: Perceptronics Solutions.
Brown, R.V., and Cohen, M.S. Tactical decision aids which quantify judgment. Proceedings of the 6th MIT/ONR Workshop on C3 Systems. Cambridge, MA: Laboratory for Information and Decision Systems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, December 1983.
Cohen, M.S., Brown, R.V., and Chinnis, J.O., Jr. Tactical decision aiding for submarine attack planning. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., March 1986.
Cohen, M.S., Bromage, R.C., and Brown, R.V. Measures of personnel readiness adapted to MRA&L needs. Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., April 1983.
Martin, A.W., Laskey, K.B., and Cohen, M.S. Shipboard evidential reasoning algorithms (U). Reston, VA: Decision Science Consortium, Inc., June 1988. Confidential.
Seaver, D.A., Goldman, A.J., Immerman, W.H., Crane, F.L., and Cohen, M.S. Strategic analysis for safeguards systems: A feasibility study (NUREG/CR- 3926, Vol. l). Bethesda, MD: The MAXIMA Corporation, December l984.
Theory of Critical Thinking
Cohen, M. S. et al. (2006). Dialogue as Medium (and Message) for Training Critical Thinking. To appear In R. Hoffman (Ed.), Decision Making Out of Context. Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.
Cohen, M.S., Salas, E., & Riedel, S. (2002). Critical Thinking: Challenges, Possibilities, and Purpose. Arlington, VA: Cognitive Technologies, Inc.
Cohen, M. S. (2001). A Three Part Theory of Critical Thinking: Dialogue, Mental Models, and Reliability. In S. L. Reidel, R. A. Morath & P. T. McGonigle (Eds.) Training Critical Thinking for Battle Command. ARI Workshop Proceedings (pp. 50-84). Alexandria, VA: U. S. Army Research Institute.
Associative & Metacognitive Reasoning
Cohen, M.S., Thompson, B.B.,Adelman, L., Bresnick, T.A. Lokendra Shastri, & Riedel (2000). Training Critical Thinking for The Battlefield. Volume III: Modeling and Simulation of Battlefield Critical Thinking. Arlington, VA: Cognitive Technologies, Inc.
Cohen, M., Thompson, B., Freeman, J., & Shastri, L. (1995). Overview of hybrid architecture and cognitive theory, and Recent Advances in SHRUTI - A Model of Reflexive Processing (Slide presentation). Arlington: Cognitive Technologies, Inc.
Thompson, Bryan, Cohen, Marvin S., and Freeman, Jared. (1995). Metacognitive Behavior in Adaptive Agents. Proceedings of the World Congress on Neural Networks (published on CD-ROM).
Lukes, G., Thompson, B.B., and Werbos, P. (1990). Expectation driven learning with an associative memory. In Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IEEE, January).
Thompson, B.B., Cohen, M.S., & Shastri, L. (2000). Research Agents for Intelligent Retrieval. ARlington VA: Cognitive Technologies.
Thompson, B.B. & Cohen, M.S. (1999). Naturalistic Decision Making and Models of Computational Intelligence. In Jagota, A. Plate, T., Shastri, L., & Sun, R. (Eds). Connectionist symbol processing: Dead or alive? Neural Computing Surveys 2, pp. 26-28.
Thompson, B.B. (1991). Natural language parsing as an adaptive control problem. Invited presentation at the University of Pennsylvania Conference on Hybrid AI and ANN Systems.
Thompson, B.B., Cohen, M.S., Freeman, J.T. (1996). Intelligent Agents Using Neural Networks. Presentation, World Congress on Neural Networks, (Invited Speaker).
Normative Factors in Naturalistic Decision Making
Lipshitz, R. & Cohen, M. S. (2005). Warrants for prescription: Analytically and empirically based approaches to improving decision making. Human Factors, 47(1), 121-130.

Cohen, M. (1993). The naturalistic basis of decision biases.

Cohen, M. (1993). Three paradigms for viewing decision biases.

Cohen, M. (1993). The bottom line: naturalistic decision aiding.

In G. Klein, J. Orasanu, R. Calderwood & C. Zsambok (Eds.) Decision Making In Action: Models and Methods Norwood, NJ: Ablex.
Cohen, M. (1987). A decision aiding methodology with normative and descriptive roots. Proceedings of the IEEE 1987 SMC Conference Alexandria, VA: Institute of Electric and Electronic Engineers, Inc.
Cohen, M. (1981). Status of the rationality assumption in psychology. The Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 4(3).
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